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International Network of Engineers and Scientists
Against Proliferation
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Conclude the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty -
Start Negotiations on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
Statement of the INESAP Coordinating Committee
Several incidents in the last year, and in the recent months in particular,
have lead to an erosion of both the political support and the legitimacy of
nuclear weapons which is unprecedented in nuclear history. Numerous statements
from both governments and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) have made clear
that a world free of nuclear weapons is a widely shared aspiration of humanity.
The current window of opportunity must be used to make substantial progress
towards a Nuclear Weapons Convention (NWC), which similar to the Biological
Weapons Convention (BWC) and the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) would ban
and eliminate nuclear weapons, the last remaining unbanned weapons of mass
destruction, under strict and effective international control. Progress is
urgent as the continued existence of nuclear weapons could induce further
nuclear proliferation, military counterproliferation and missile defense
programs which could seriously and irreversibly threaten international
stability.
The Window of Opportunity for Nuclear Abolition
The following positive events especially deserve to be mentioned:
- All 170 states at the Review and Extension Conference of the
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) extended the NPT in May 1995 with a statement
calling for "systematic and progressive efforts to reduce nuclear weapons
globally, with the ultimate goal of eliminating these weapons." This demand was
intensified by a majority resolution in the UN General Assembly in 1995,
calling "upon the Conference on Disarmament to establish, on a priority basis,
an ad hoc committee to commence negotiations early in 1996 on a phased
programme of nuclear disarmament and for the eventual elimination of nuclear
weapons within a time-bound framework".
- The INESAP Study Group "Beyond the NPT", comprising more than 50 experts
from 20 countries, worked out and published a report in April 1995 in New York
on how a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World (NWFW) could be achieved through various
steps, leading to a NWC. Steps towards abolition could include deep reductions
in the nuclear arsenals, a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), cutoff
agreements to stop the production and (re-)use of weapon-usable nuclear
materials, measures to prevent the horizontal and vertical proliferation of
delivery systems, and regional approaches to nuclear disarmament.
- More than 200 NGOs called in April 1995 for immediate "negotiations on a
nuclear weapons abolition convention that requires the phased elimination of
all nuclear weapons within a timebound framework, with provisions for effective
verification and enforcement." This statement was the basis for the foundation
of the Abolition 2000 Global Network in November 1995, in which several hundred
organizations from all over the world are now working together to demand an
agreement by the year 2000 on abolishing nuclear weapons.
- The 50th anniversaries of the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki have
reminded the world of the devastating impact of nuclear attacks, fuelling the
moral condemnation of nuclear weapons use.
- The 1995 Nobel Peace Prize for the Pugwash Movement and its President
Joseph Rotblat was an honoring of scientists and engineers who refused to work
on nuclear weapons and became active towards peace and disarmament in the past
decades. It encourages anybody who promotes the concept of a NWFW.
- Continued Chinese and French testing after the NPT conference led to
significant worldwide protests against the tests, strengthening support for a
CTBT. Meanwhile, all nuclear explosions have been stopped after France's and
China's last tests this year.
- By signing the African Nuclear-Weapon-Free-Zone (NWFZ) Treaty of
Pelindaba in April of this year in Cairo, 43 African States declared a whole
continent to be free of nuclear weapons. South Africa was the first state to
abandon
completely its nuclear weapons. Together with similar treaties for South East
Asia in 1995, for the South Pacific (Rarotonga) in 1985, signed by the Nuclear
Weapon States in March 1996, for Latin America and the Caribbean in 1967
(Tlatelolco), and Antarctica in 1959, almost the whole Southern hemisphere is
free of nuclear weapons. In this respect the South is more developed than the
North.
- The International Court of Justice, in a historic Advisory Opinion on
July 8 in The Hague, stated that "the threat and use of nuclear weapons would
generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed
conflict, and particularly the principles and rules of humanitarian law". Even
in "an extreme circumstance of self-defense, in which the very survival of a
state would be at stake" the Court did not approve the use or threat of use of
nuclear weapons. In conclusion the Court made it clear that there exists an
obligation to pursue and conclude negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament
in all its aspects under strict and effective international control.
- In November 1995 the Australian government initiated the Canberra
Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons, including a number of
high-ranking
individuals from science, politics and military, like Joseph Rotblat, Robert
McNamara, Michel Rocard, Maj-Britt Theorin and Jacques-Yves Cousteau. On
August 14th 1996 the Commission presented its far-reaching report. Persuaded
"that immediate and determined efforts need to be made to rid the world of
nuclear weapons and the threat they pose to it", the Commission has identified
a series of steps towards a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World, including further
US/Russian bilateral agreements, a CTBT, a fissile cut-off convention, a
no-first-use treaty and nuclear weapon free zones, with specific mechanisms to
answer the security concerns of each region. The Commission leaves open the
question whether the NWFW could be best given effect by the "incremental
approach of a number of separate instruments or through a comprehensive
approach which would combine all relevant instruments into a single legal
instrument, a nuclear weapons convention."
- The Conference on Disarmament in Geneva has worked out a Draft
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, which would effectively ban all nuclear
explosions, although not all research and development on nuclear weapons.
While India insists on connecting the CTBT with a disarmament agenda, there is
an extensive debate on getting the CTBT done.
- The large majority of the non-aligned states (Group of 21) in the
Conference on Disarmament, including India, but excluding South Africa and
Chile, has proposed a detailed Programme of Action for the Elimination of
Nuclear Weapons which contains very important elements that should be
seriously considered.
The decision on the CTBT and further steps towards nuclear disarmament will be
taken by the UN General Assembly in September and October this year.
- Within the Abolition 2000 Network there is an on-going process of
drafting a Model NWC which is intended to influence the future disarmament
debate. A resolution of the UN General Assembly is being prepared, calling for
negotiations on the NWC.
Challenges and Obstacles
These on-going developments clearly suggest that the time for action is now.
Never have the chances been so good to initiate a process leading to the
abolition of nuclear weapons. On the other hand, potential dangers to this
process should not be overlooked.
- Most important to start the process towards zero would be a committment
by the Nuclear Weapons States (NWS) to the complete elimination of nuclear
weapons within a foreseeable time frame. But the five Nuclear Weapon States
show no
sign of willingness to give up their nuclear weapons. Instead they continue
modernization of their nuclear arsenals, using computer simulation and
laboratory experiments for nuclear weapons development. While China and Russia
have declared in principle to eliminate their nuclear arsenals if all NWS do
so, the Western NWS refuse to discuss this issue.
- The allies of the NWS hope to profit from their "nuclear umbrellas", in
contradiction to the obligations they have signed under the NPT as non-nuclear
weapon states and in conflict with the World Court's Advisory Opinion. With
NATO expansion to Eastern Europe, this could lead to more countries in which
nuclear weapons might be or will in fact be deployed.
- As long as the NWS give a negative example by maintaining and
modernizing their nuclear arsenals, the proliferation of nuclear weapons and
related
technical capabilities is difficult to stop. While a few countries have
already passed the nuclear threshold, a number of countries are building
technical capabilities to be able to do so if perceived as necessary according
to their national interest. The continued existence of nuclear arsenals and
production complexes pose opportunities for nuclear smuggling and nuclear
terrorism.
- The perception that rogue states or terrorists are aiming for nuclear
weapons is a driving motive for military counterproliferation and missile
defense programs in Western countries, which undermines the ABM Treaty, could
fuel North-South arms races and may severely degrade the political conditions
for disarmament.
- The fear of Western dominance, fuelled by NATO expansion and revision
of the ABM Treaty, leads to resistence against ratification of START-2 and the
CWC in the Russian Parliament.
An Agenda for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World
These negative tendencies could undermine the above-mentioned positive
developments if serious actions are not taken soon by the international
community. The following steps are especially urgent to start the process
towards a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World:
- Conclusion of the CTBT in 1996
- Joint declaration on No-First Use and No-Use guarantees by the Nuclear
Weapon States
- Declarations by the Nuclear Weapon States to commit to rapid and
complete nuclear disarmament, to renounce new nuclear weapons, and to
close/dismantle/convert related research and development facilities.
- Confirmation of the ABM Treaty, ratification of START-II and beginning
of START III negotiations.
- Immediate steps for reducing the nuclear danger: taking nuclear forces off
alert, removal of warheads from delivery vehicles, ending deployment of
non-strategic nuclear weapons, and a ballistic missile flight test ban.
- Begin negotiations in the Conference on Disarmament on a Comprehensive
Cut-Off Convention (CCC) on nuclear weapons-usable materials.
- CWC ratification and full implementation, strengthening of BWC
verification
- Southern hemisphere to be declared nuclear-weapon-free zone.
Further zones
to be declared nuclear-weapon-free (Korean Peninsula, South Asia, Middle East,
Central and Eastern Europe)
- Further negotiations among all NWS on the elimination of their nuclear
weapons.
- Negotiation, conclusion and implementation of a Nuclear Weapons
Convention, integrating all nuclear arms control, non-proliferation and
disarmament measures.
The incremental, step-by-step approach and the comprehensive, NWC-based
approach to a NWFW are not contradictory, but complementary to each other. To
coordinate the various steps towards a NWFW and avoid deficiencies of the
single steps, it is highly important to start negotiations on the NWC as a
framework for the elimination of nuclear weapons as soon as possible.
Therefore, we call upon the General Assembly of the United Nations and the
governments of all states to conclude the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and, as
an implementation of the Advisory Opinion of the International Court of
Justice, to support a resolution to begin immediate negotiations on a Nuclear
Weapons Convention which would provide for nuclear disarmament in all its
aspects.
INESAP Coordinating Committee, including deputies:
Anatoli Diakov (Russia)
Martin Kalinowski (Germany)
George Lewis (USA)
Wolfgang Liebert (Germany)
Zia Mian (Pakistan)
Paul Podvig (Russia)
Jürgen Scheffran (Germany)
Dingli Shen (China)
Fernando de Souza Barros (Brazil)
Johan Swahn (Sweden)
September 4, 1996