References

1. J. Scheffran, Strategic Defense, Disar-mament and Stability - Modelling Arms Race Phenomena with Security and Costs under Political and Technical Uncertainties, PhD Thesis in physics, Marburg, 1989.

2. C.G. Jacobsen, The Uncertain Course - New Weapons Strategies and Mind-Sets, SIPRI, Oxford University Press, 1987, p. xi.

3. Scheffran 1989, p.11

4. See for instance G.N. Lewis, T.A. Postol, J.Pike, Why National Missile Defense Won't Work, Scientific American, August 1999; G. Neuneck, "SDI light" oder die Aushöhlung des ABM Vertrages, Wissenschaft und Frieden, 2/99.

5. See for instance the books by the Union of Concerned Scientists: J. Tirman (ed.), The Fallacy of Star Wars, New York: Vintage Books, 1984; J. Tirman (ed.), Empty Promise - The Growing Case Against Star Wars, Boston: Beacon Press, 1986.

6. J.A. Thompson, Deterrence, Stability, and Strategic Defenses, in: F.S. Hoffman, A. Wohlstetter, D. Yost (eds.), Swords and Shields, Lexington, 1987, p. 348.

7. D. Wilkening, K. Watman, Strategic Defenses and First-Strike Stability, Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation, R-3412-FF/RC, November 1986, p. 29.

8. P. Nitze, On the Road to a More Stable Peace, Speech before the Philadelphia World Affairs Council, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, February 20, 1985, reprint in: "Energy and Technology Review", February 1987, pp. 9-11.

9. Disarmament and Security, IMEMO Yearbook 1987, USSR Academy of Sciences, Novosti Press, Moscow 1988, p. 78.

10. IMEMO (1988), p. 88-89. SOF = Strategic Offensive Forces.

11. R. Reagan, Address to the nation, October 13, 1986.

12. M. Gorbachev, press conference in Reykjavik, Iceland, October 12, 1986.

13. IMEMO (1988), p. 84.

14. See IMEMO (1988), pp. 90-91. Similar limits had been proposed by J. Pike, Quantitative Limits on Anti-Missile Systems - A Preliminary Assessment, Washington D.C.: Federation of American Scientists, Fourth Draft, May 22, 1987; a shorter version can be found in: Scientific Aspects of the Verification of Arms Control Treaties, part II, pp. 137- 198, Hamburger Beiträge zur Friedensforschung und Sicherheitspolitik, June 1987.

15. IMEMO (1988), p. 609.

16. D. Hoffman, U.S. Hails Moscow's SDI Shift, International Herald Tribune, September 25, 1989.

17. J.A. Thompson, Strategic Defense and Deterrence, Statement Before the Defense Appropriations Sub-Committee of the House Appropriations Committee, May 9, 1984, p. 10-11.

18. R. H. Kupperman, A. C. Goldberg, The Impact of a Grand Compromise in Arms Control on U.S. Strategic Forces, Center for Strategic & International Studies, Georgetown University, September 30, 1986 p. 1.

19. Office of Technology Assessment, Ballistic Missile Defense Technologies, Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, OTA-ISC-254, September 1985, p. 13.